- Because, after many generations, Bihar can again have an effective voice at the centre - not the obstructionist version. Congress did very little, except find specialists such as Babu Jagajivan Ram who could garner support and control at the centre but continue to ignore their home constituency. This is no longer possible. If you win the state elections and gain control at the centre, you better keep some of the promises made.
- For too long we have been in election mode and we need to return to governance.
- There are serious matters of national importance pending as the polity is fractured by individual and state level aspirations. For the better or worse, we need a central level party to look at the nation as a complete unit and act.
I wager that they will.
Why?
- They have committed to work at booth level and ensure the first past the post work for them.
- As this article brings out a new dimension - the kin of Bahari may be the swing factor.
- Caste does play even today - but can be overcome by other more mundane conditions.
- Anti incumbency.
- The persona of our PM. You cannot discount the influence this will have on the rural electorate. Afterall they are seeing someone like this after Smt. Indira Gandhi and Sri Atalji.
Rejoinder on 8/11/2015
My predictions have proven wrong and way off the mark. The Mahaghatbandhan, has swept the elections. The fact that they might have had a vote differential of over 10% vote share in the final tally, speaks volumes at the alignment of the voters across ages, sexes and castes. No amount of rhetoric, could wean away the electorate from giving the leadership to Nitish.
If there is one common factor that is common which cost the BJP Delhi and Bihar, it is the absence of local tall leader. A bahari is not wanted by the electorate at the state level and that is the lesson which pollsters must retain from this election round.
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